Vital Signs
Modeled global birth & death ticks · national vital-rate baseline
Overlay
Modeled birthModeled death
Natural Earth projection · 110m
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Historical trend
Modeled births and deaths per year, 1990–2024, from the same national rates that drive the live ticks.
Births / yrDeaths / yrLife expectancy
- Year
- 2024
- Modeled births
- 132,321,750
- Modeled deaths
- 61,255,777
- Births / 1,000
- 16.3
- Deaths / 1,000
- 7.5
- Life expectancy
- 73.5 yr
Yearly totals are modeled the same way as the ticks: each country's published crude rate applied to its population that year, summed over 215 countries. Hover the chart to read a year.
Twelve-month forecast
Projected modeled pulses per month, holding today's national rates constant and applying the same seasonal shape as the live ticks.
BirthsDeaths
- Month
- Sep 2026
- Projected births
- 11,508,726
- Projected deaths
- 4,952,360
- Next 12 months · births
- 134.1M
- Next 12 months · deaths
- 61.7M
- Projected net change
- +72.4M
A projection, not a prediction: rates are frozen at their latest published values, so this shows what the current rates imply, month by month, if nothing changes.
Country detail
Modeled births and deaths per year for one country. Click a country on the map, or pick one here.
- Population
- 1,463,865,525
- People / km²
- 492
- Life expectancy
- 72.2 yr
- Latest year
- 2024
- Births / 1,000 / yr
- 16.0
- Deaths / 1,000 / yr
- 6.6
- Modeled births 2024
- 23.19M
- Modeled deaths 2024
- 9.56M